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“The beat goes on. The beat goes on.
La de da de de, la de da de da.”
-Congressman Sonny Bono
The prevailing wisdom is that Governor Fletcher should drop his bid for reelection and do something else with his life.
Admittedly, Governor Fletcher is having a difficult time. In fact, I
have just written a book called The Unbridled World of Ernie Fletcher,
which chronicles some of his miscues and mistakes.
Fletcher is a known quantity. The people thinking about running against
him are not. It's unlikely his distant past will come back and bite
him.
Of course, his recent history has not been a bed of roses.
Some
of the Democrats like Chandler and Mongardo have been through the
campaign meat grinder but none of Fletcher’s potential Republican
opponents have had an intense, statewide, vetting.
Candidates
for minor constitutional offices, the state legislature, or even
congress, do not go under the microscope the way someone running for
governor does.
Before running Fletcher out of town on a rail, Republicans might think back to 1991.
In
1991, Congressman Larry Hopkins was the choice of the Republican
establishment and looked like he had a really good chance to be
Governor.
Larry Forgy,
(yes, THAT, Larry Forgy) challenged Hopkins for the Republican
nomination. Forgy narrowly lost, 51% to 49%, even though Hopkins
outspent him four to one.
Although
the defeat started a string of Forgy’s political losses, from
Governor, to Supreme Court and recently the Republican Party central
committee, 1991 was Forgy's finest hour. Forgy was able to position
himself as the outsider taking on the establishment.
Even
more importantly, Forgy found serious discrepancies with Hopkins’s
resume concerning Hopkins education and military record. After the
hard fought primary, Hopkins was sunk. His campaign stumbled into the
general election where Hopkins lost by what was then the largest margin
in Kentucky history.
I don't
know if the people thinking about running for Governor have any
skeletons in their closet. They may not. If they have ever lied
about anything, have a backstreet lover, cheated on their taxes, been
involved in any unusual business activities, or have friends or
relatives who might embarrass them, I would recommend they confess it
now or forget about running for Governor.
In
a race for governor, every peccadillo is going to be analyzed,
scrutinized, and made into a thirty-second television commercial. It
is better to have the bad news on the table early.
Vetting
candidates now will allow the Republican establishment to look at
Fletcher and see if they really do want to throw him overboard. He may
not look so bad after the other possibilities are put through the meat
grinder.
The worst possible
Republican scenario would be to throw Fletcher overboard, put their
eggs in a new basket and have this year’s version of Tina Conner be in
the new basket.
Cincinnati
Post Managing Editor Mark Neikirk nailed it perfectly when he said that
Fletcher political career is very ill, not dead.
Neikirk
urged Fletcher to make some bold moves, show some bi-partisanship in
naming people to his cabinet, and fix the merit system once and for
all.
If Fletcher does that,
he might get the state to focus on the important issues facing it and
raise his popularity at the same time.
I’ve been urging Fletcher to be bold for a long time now. It has not happened. He seems too wrapped up in self pity.
There
is hope that Fletcher is coming around. He recently sang karaoke at
an event in Frankfort. When he was running for Governor, he and I
both participated in a karaoke event in Richmond. Everyone enjoyed
watching a Congressman sing like the rest of us. He won several people
over that night.
For my
karaoke, I dedicated my section of “I’ve Got You Babe” to Fletcher as
Sonny Bono had also been a Republican congressman.
Sonny was elected because people knew him and Sonny did not take himself too seriously.
Like
Sonny, Fletcher is a known quantity. If he can focus on the big issues
and not take himself too seriously, the beat might go on for an
unbridled second term.
La de da de de, la de da de da.
Don McNay
is the author of “The Unbridled World of Ernie Fletcher”, which will be
in bookstores later this year. You can write to him at
This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it
or read other things he has written at www.donmcnay.com.
His award winning column is syndicated on the CNHI News Service. He is
on the Board of Directors for the National Society of Newspaper
Columnists.
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