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Surviving the Current Recession
"America needs you, Harry
Truman"
-Chicago
Harry Truman said that
a recession is when your neighbor loses his (or her) job. A depression is
when you lose your job.
A 21st
century version of Truman's theory is: A recession is when your neighbor is
foreclosed on. A depression is when you are foreclosed on.
Managing debt and
wealth are how we now measure the economy. Unemployment is
low. There are plenty of minimum wage jobs but minimum wage does not net
enough to make a sub prime house payment.
We are in a
recession. The economy has been lousy for months.
Some lame brain
economists, like Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke, try to convince
us otherwise. They point to obscure economic indexes and try to
cheer us up.
You can't be in
good cheer when they are hauling off the neighbor's furniture.
Politicians have
a tough balancing act. They need to present a positive spin.
Consumer
confidence drives the economy. If people get into a negative mindset, the
economy spirals further down.
Franklin Delano
Roosevelt turned the tide on the great depression by saying, "the only
thing we have to fear is fear itself." He gave people hope.
FDR offer more than a
great slogan. He spent the first 100 days of his
administration putting spending programs in place.
Things got
better. Those who lived through that era learned the value of saving over
spending.
A lesson this
generation forgot.
Our recession
was caused by out of control borrowing. People bought things they
couldn't afford. They ran up the mortgages, car loans and credit cards
until they were completely maxed out. Life has been a party and like any
out of control party, there is a hangover the next day.
When someone is
recovering from a hangover, I give them Gatorade. I survived pneumonia on
Gatorade. I swear by its magical powers.
My economic
Gatorade comes in three parts.
1. Don't
panic. FDR was right when he said the only thing we have to fear is fear
itself. Lately, I've have tons of people call in panic. They tell
me they want to dump their stock, sell their house or become a survivalist and
stockpile canned food and guns.
I tell
them to take a deep breath.
Panic is what
causes a recession to become a depression. It is also stupid. The economy
works like seasons of the year. If you hunker down in winter, spring will
eventually be here.
2. If you
do have money, make some financial moves. Great
fortunes are made in the bad economic cycles. A recession is the perfect time
to get rich.
There are real
estate bargains and a lot to choose from. People are
dumping stocks and bonds. If you do your homework, there are buying
opportunities.
If you have
money hidden under a mattress, take it out and start investing.
If you have
manageable debt but a good credit rating, now is the time to
refinance. If you have a variable mortgage, you need to get a fixed
one. Today.
People can call
their credit card lenders and get better rates. Try it. All they can tell you is
no.
I would prefer
you tear up your credit cards completely but if you hang on to them, get the
best deal you can.
3. You
need a budget and an emergency fund. A budget gives you an accurate
measure of where you are. Like starting a diet, you need monitor
progress. A budget is the economics equivalent of
getting on the scale.
People who
budget and plan, have money. People who write down what they
are eating lose weight. It's not magic. It is developing good habits.
If you are in
debt, you need to figure out where you spent it and how to start paying it
back.
A recession is
the economy's reminder to have a savings plan. People with savings, diversified
investments and no debt can survive any economy.
Even if they
lose their job.
All goes
back to living beneath your means, like Harry Truman did.
It's fun to show the neighbors your new house and fancy
car.
It is not
fun to face them when those items get repossessed.
Don McNay is the author of Winners,
Losers and What to Do When You Win The Lottery. You can write to him
at
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or
read his award winning column at www.donmcnay.com
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